|
McAlester, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for McAlester OK
National Weather Service Forecast for:
McAlester OK
Issued by: National Weather Service Tulsa, OK |
| Updated: 2:50 am CDT Jun 6, 2025 |
|
Overnight
Chance
T-storms
|
Friday
Heavy Rain
|
Friday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
Saturday
Showers
Likely
|
Saturday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
Sunday
Mostly Sunny
|
Sunday
Night
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Heavy Rain
|
Monday
Chance
T-storms
|
Monday
Night
Mostly Cloudy
then Slight
Chance
Showers
|
| Lo 74 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 64 °F |
|
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Overnight
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 74. South wind around 5 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday
|
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 1pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. |
Friday Night
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Saturday
|
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Saturday Night
|
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Sunday
|
Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph. |
Sunday Night
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Calm wind. |
Monday
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Monday Night
|
A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Tuesday
|
Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Tuesday Night
|
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Wednesday
|
A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. |
Wednesday Night
|
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southeast wind around 5 mph. |
Thursday
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. South wind 5 to 10 mph. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for McAlester OK.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
997
FXUS64 KTSA 060652
AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
152 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 147 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
- Strong to severe storms and heavy rainfall today. Similar
pattern tonight into Saturday. Focus may shift slightly
southward Saturday night into Sunday and even more southward
Saturday night into Sunday.
- The multiple rounds of rainfall will result in an increased
flash and main-stem river flooding threat.
- A cold front will bring a chance for storms early next week,
with drying conditions expected midweek. Odds favor below
average temperatures for this time of year through mid week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 147 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
MCS continues to organize across N OK with storms strengthening
and likely spreading severe weather into portions of NE OK through
early morning. The warm front currently near Interstate 40 through
east central OK may arc northwestward into the developing complex
as it enters NE OK and offer a potential an uptick in complex
intensity. Otherwise, a slightly more stable airmass does reside
north of the warm front and the advancing complex may trend toward
a more isolated severe threat with eastward extent. Additionally,
potential for preceding convection north of the warm front may
expand in coverage ahead of the main wave and produce a zone of
enhanced heavier convection which would quickly raise flash flood
potential. This scenario could develop in a short time frame and
impacts could develop quickly. The overall system will be
progressive through the morning with widespread coverage becoming
more scattered by mid afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
A similar pattern is likely to develop again tonight into the
morning hours on Saturday. While details often change depending on
the preceding convective influences, the idea of storms developing
by evening and expanding in coverage across the forecast area
tonight is generally well agreed upon at this time. Storms would
again be exiting the forecast area by afternoon on Saturday.
Saturday night into Sunday may mark a more southward focus for the
heaviest precip and favor the southern half of the forecast area.
Troughing deepens through the central CONUS on Sunday and drives
a stronger front and yet another storm complex southward. Current
indications are that this MCS would again favor areas west and
possibly the southern half of the forecast area. All the above
scenarios would pose a risk of severe weather and potential
flooding.
The active storm period likely wanes for early to mid next week
with seasonably pleasant weather.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Fri Jun 6 2025
Scattered showers and a few storms will remain possible near the
Oklahoma Kansas border into the early morning hours ahead of a
developing MCS currently over far northwest Oklahoma. This complex
moves into northeast Oklahoma early this morning and spreads east
and southeast across the CWA through the late morning hours.
Within the convection, IFR/MVFR conditions and gusty winds are
currently anticipated. Behind the storm complex, a period of
IFR/MVFR ceilings are forecast into late morning and early
afternoon hours before lifting back to VFR for the rest of the
TAF period. Additional showers/storms look to develop again just
outside of this TAF period. Winds remain variable into the morning
hours, become west southwesterly for the afternoon hours, and
then go back to variable Friday evening.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 84 70 84 66 / 70 80 70 20
FSM 86 72 86 69 / 80 60 70 50
MLC 87 73 87 66 / 80 50 60 50
BVO 82 66 82 63 / 60 80 60 10
FYV 82 69 82 64 / 90 70 80 30
BYV 82 67 81 64 / 90 70 80 30
MKO 84 69 84 65 / 90 60 80 40
MIO 81 67 81 64 / 90 70 70 20
F10 85 68 85 65 / 80 70 70 40
HHW 88 73 89 69 / 50 10 30 60
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for OKZ054>072.
AR...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for ARZ001-002-010-011-
019-020.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...20
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|
